用抽样调查法确定图书的平均出版年代与平均出版价格——以洛阳市图书馆保存本书库为例

在抽样调查理论的指导下,确定了保存本书库图书的平均出版年代、平均出版价格的估值区间,给出了平均出版年代、平均出版价格的正态分布密度函数,在此基础上确定了保存本书库所有图书在特定时间区间、价格区间内的数量分布情况,提出了优化馆藏结构的建议。     

Optimal sampling frequency for volatility forecast models for the Indian stock markets

This paper evaluates the performance of conditional variance models using high‐frequency data of the National Stock Index (S&P CNX NIFTY) and attempts to determine the optimal sampling frequency for the best daily volatility forecast. A linear combination of the realized volatilities calculated at two different frequencies is used as benchmark to evaluate the volatility forecasting ability of the conditional variance models (GARCH (1, 1)) at different sampling frequencies. From the analysis, it is found that sampling at 30 minutes gives the best forecast for daily volatility. The forecasting ability of these models is deteriorated, however, by the non‐normal property of mean adjusted returns, which is an assumption in conditional variance models. Nevertheless, the optimum frequency remained the same even in the case of different models (EGARCH and PARCH) and different error distribution (generalized error distribution, GED) where the error is reduced to a certain extent by incorporating the asymmetric effect on volatility. Our analysis also suggests that GARCH models with GED innovations or EGRACH and PARCH models would give better estimates of volatility with lower forecast error estimates. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于BIST的板级数模混合电路的可测性研究

本文通过对电路板可测性设计技术的广泛研究，提出基于板级BIST技术的可测性设计方法，在此基础上设计和研制了具有可测性的板级数模混合电路验证样机。该样机采用分块监测，逐级诊断的故障诊断策略，采用模块和元件两级故障定位方法，验证平台的测试实验表明分级监测的可行性，指明了可测性设计和内建自测试技术的研究新思路。     

A relay selection scheme based on geometric optimum in cooperative cognitive systems over mixed channels

This paper proposes a relay selection scheme based on geometric optimum principle to maximize the cognitive link＇ s connectivity with limited interference to primary user in cooperative cognitive systems. A dual-hop cognitive relay system is considered, in which the channel impulse response follows independent non-identical distribution （i. n. d. ） each hop, such as Rician, Rayleigh and Nakagami-m distribution. Then, closed-form expressions in terms of outage probability and average bit error rate （ABER） are obtained using amplify-and-forward （AF） relaying protocol over such mixed fading channels. Furthermore, the best range of the relay is derived. Extensive simulation re- suits are conducted to verify the theoretical analysis, which is useful to the network optimal design.     

气溶胶取样测试技术研究与实验验证

气溶胶过滤效率是衡量安全壳过滤排放系统性能的重要指标。以安全壳过滤排放系统的研制为背景，针对高温空气和水蒸汽混合介质条件下的固体粒子气溶胶取样及测试技术进行研究，解决了水蒸汽存在条件下气溶胶的取样测量中存在的问题，设计完成了一套可用于安全壳过滤排放系统气溶胶过滤效率检测的取样测试系统。通过多角度对比和实验分析，最终确定了采用疏水性聚四氟乙烯滤膜能够满足混合气体的采样需求。此外实验中发现滤膜的吸湿性和静电效应对测量的准确性影响较大，而采用滤膜恒重和使用铝箔纸的方法能有效解决该问题，提高测量的准确度。在此基础上，完成了取样测试回路的实验验证，并对结果进行了不确定度分析，证明了本套系统能够满足实验需求。     

Testing for the usefulness of forecasts

Ashley (Journal of Forecasting 1983; 2 (3): 211–223) proposes a criterion (known as Ashley's index) to judge whether the external macroeconomic variables are well forecast to serve as explanatory variables in forecasting models, which is crucial for policy makers. In this article, we try to extend Ashley's work by providing three testing procedures, including a ratio‐based test, a difference‐based test, and the Bayesian approach. The Bayesian approach has the advantage of allowing the flexibility of adapting all possible information content within a decision‐making environment such as the change of variable's definition due to the evolving system of national accounts. We demonstrate the proposed methods by applying six macroeconomic forecasts in the Survey of Professional Forecasters. Researchers or practitioners can thus formally test whether the external information is helpful. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

萘-杂醇-柴油三元燃料的燃烧性能

将含萘柴油转化为柴油发动机用燃料,使其得到充分利用并发挥最大使用价值具有重要意义。研究了添加杂醇对含萘柴油的燃烧性能影响。实验结果显示,杂醇溶解萘的能力是柴油的1.3～1.5倍,在柴油中添加杂醇可减少柴油吸收萘的使用量。萘的存在使得热值增加,但不论添加杂醇与否,热值无明显变化。添加杂醇有利于降低尾气有害物排放,提高功率输出,增加柴油发动机的扭矩,降低高转速油耗率,大幅度节约脱萘成本。     

Strategic Robust Mixed Model Assembly Line Balancing Based on Scenario Planning

Assembly line balancing involves assigning a series of task elements to uniform sequential stations with certain restrictions. Decision makers often discover that a task assignment which is optimal with respect to a deterministic or stochastic/fuzzy model yields quite poor performance in reality. In real environments, assembly line balancing robustness is a more appropriate decision selection guide. A robust model based on the α worst case scenario is developed to compensate for the drawbacks of traditional robust criteria. A robust genetic algorithm is used to solve the problem. Comprehensive computational experiments to study the effect of the solution procedure show that the model generates more flexible robust solutions. Careful tuning the value of α allows the decision maker to balance robustness and conservativeness of as- sembly line task element assignments.     

一类线性混合模型中方差分量的估计

将线性混合模型中随机效应的协方差阵推广为正定阵,运用方差分析估计的方法给出了方差分量的估计。通过QR分解给出了简化计算的方法,利用随机变量二次型的协方差对方差分量的估计做了进一步的改进,同时还给出了方差分量的一个非负估计。     

一类正交基插值尺度函数的构造

给出了一类正交基插值尺度函数的构造方法.这类尺度函数具有指数衰减性.并给出它们具有一阶和二阶光滑性的条件.最后举了一个构造算例.